When Are Home Heating Prices Expected to Go Down?

With winter weather hitting hard, homeowners in the U.S. are experiencing the problem of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a noteworthy jump in energy rates, leaving many looking for answers and relief. Understand what has an impact on home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and ways to keep your utility bills in check.

Varieties of Home Heating Fuel

A number of fuels are used to heat homes in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil is the fuel used in 5% of homes.
  • Propane fuels another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels are still the main source for making electricity even with the renewed focus on renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Factors Impact the Cost of Fossil Fuels?

Considering the above information, it’s evident that fossil fuels heat a vast majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the most significant factor driving price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by greater production and storage rates—typically lowers prices, while a spike in demand—caused by harsh weather, a flourishing economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to skyrocket.

Exactly How Much Has the Price of Natural Gas Gone Up?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, resulting in a broad price decline in all of 2018. Unfortunately, demand has soared recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to attain heights not seen in over a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas hit its highest peak since 2008, attaining an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This surge represented a tremendous leap of over 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the steepest annual increases on record.

Many factors led to the erratic rise and lack of stability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, manufacturing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a significant draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices upward. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and elsewhere, coupled with an increase in domestic demand because of cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices soared past $9/MMBtu, only to fall by 40% following the fire and subsequent stoppage at the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident drastically cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas into storage. But, as the summer heat ebbed, prices climbed once again, peaking in late August.

Shifting into the fall, an increase in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices retreat closer to the five-year average. However, as temperatures fell, the demand for heating caused prices to ascend once more.

When Will Prices Go Down?

The changes in natural gas prices underscore the intricate interplay of factors influencing home heating prices. As we look onward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price changes and the possibility of cost-saving options.

As of late 2023, prices have come down from their previous highs thanks to robust production and reasonably mild temperatures. Although demand continues to be steady, forecasters anticipate prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, offering some respite for individuals as we move through the heating season.

Ways to Trim Your Heating Bill

Regardless of how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several helpful steps to improve energy efficiency and lower your heating expenses. Here are a couple of strategies:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, throwing them open during the day for free light and heat and then closing them each night to insulate your windows.
  • Boost attic insulation to prevent heat from rising out of your home.
  • Invest in a smart thermostat that learns your behavior and adjusts the temperature accordingly to help reduce your energy usage.
  • Dial down the temperature on your thermostat when you’re not home so you aren’t spending money to heat an empty house.
  • Put on warmer clothes indoors so you do not have to crank up the thermostat.
  • Schedule seasonal furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in peak condition.
  • Set up a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more comfortable at a lower temperature.

Bring Comfort Home in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is more important to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and happiness in your home. Our services can also help bring down home heating costs, which is excellent news for your bank account. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quick, lasting solutions to all your comfort needs. Our 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not truly happy with our services, you can count on us to make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community participation, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a meaningful difference in your life and sense of comfort. For more information about heating prices in the U.S. or personalized methods to help lower your utility bills, reach out to the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

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